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This quiz consists of 5 multiple choice and 5 short answer questions through Chapters 19 - 24.

Multiple Choice Questions

1. Who wrote the article "The Robust Beauty of Improper Linear Models in Decision Making"?
(a) Malcolm Gladwell.
(b) Robyn Dawes.
(c) Jim Collins and Jerry I. Porras.
(d) Baruch Fischhoff.

2. In the conclusion of the study of availability bias conducted by Paul Slovic, Sarah Lichtenstein, and Baruch Fischoff, they deduced that estimates of causes of death are warped by what?
(a) The economy.
(b) Direct knowledge.
(c) Media coverage.
(d) Family history of illness.

3. Who wrote Judgment in Managerial Decision Making?
(a) John List.
(b) Gary Klein.
(c) Christopher Hsee.
(d) Max Bazerman.

4. What does the author describe seeing on a drive from New York to Princeton that surprised him and his wife in Chapter 6?
(a) A naked woman.
(b) A man with a gun.
(c) A burning car.
(d) A gorilla.

5. Who used a method to test intentional causality by making a film in 1944 that involved a circle and two triangles?
(a) Daniel Gilbert.
(b) Shane Frederick.
(c) Danny Oppenheimer.
(d) Fritz Heider and Mary-Ann Simmel.

Short Answer Questions

1. What are statistical base rates?

2. What statistician illustrated the ease with which people see patterns where none exist?

3. Who wrote the 2005 book Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?

4. What example is presented in the opening of Chapter 1 to demonstrate slow thinking?

5. What color are the cabs in the statistics problem presented by the author to examine statistical base rates and causal base rates?

(see the answer key)

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