It is universally believed that the Pretender’s son, who is at Paris, will make the campaign in one of their armies.  I suppose this will soon produce a declaration of war; and then France, perhaps, will not find her account in having brought him as near to England as ever he is like to be.  Adieu!  My Lord is hurrying me down to the House.  I must go!

359 Letter 129 To Sir Horace Mann.  House of Commons, Feb. 16, 1744.

We are come nearer to a crisis than indeed I expected!  After the various reports about the Brest squadron, it has proved that they are sixteen ships of the line off Torbay; in all probability to draw our fleet from Dunkirk, where they have two men-of-war and sixteen large Indiamen to transport eight thousand foot and two thousand horse, which are there in the town.  There has been some difficulty to persuade people of the imminence of our danger — but yesterday the King sent a message to both Houses to acquaint us that he has certain information of the young Pretender being in France, and of the designed invasion from thence, in concert with the disaffected here.(900) Immediately the Duke of Marlborough, who most handsomely and seasonably was come to town on purpose, moved for an Address to assure the King of standing by him with lives and fortunes.  Lord Hartington, seconded by Sir Charles Windham,(901) the convert son of Sir William, moved the same in our House.  To our amazement, and little sure to their own honour, Waller and Doddington, supported in the most indecent manner by Pitt, moved to add, that we would immediately inquire into the state of the navy, the causes of our danger by negligence, and the sailing of the Brest fleet.  They insisted on this amendment, and debated it till seven at night, not one (professed) Jacobite speaking.  The division was 287 against 123.  In the Lords, Chesterfield moved the same amendment, seconded by old dull Westmoreland; but they did not divide.

All the troops have been sent for in the greatest haste to London but we shall not have above eight thousand men together at most.  An express is gone to Holland, and General Wentworth followed it last night, to demand six thousand men, who will probably be here by the end of next week.  Lord Stair (902) has offered the King his service, and is to-day named commander-in-chief.  This is very generous, and will be of great use.  He is extremely beloved in the -army, and most firm to this family.

I cannot say our situation is the most agreeable; we know not whether Norris is gone after the Brest fleet or not.  We have three ships in the Downs, but they cannot prevent a landing, which will probably be in Essex or Suffolk.  Don’t be surprised if you hear that this crown is fought for on land.  As yet there is no rising; but we must expect it on the first descent.

Don’t be uneasy for me, when the whole is at stake.  I don’t feel as if my friends would have any reason to be concerned for me:  my warmth will carry me as far as any man; and I think I can bear as I should the worst that can happen; though the delays of the French, I don’t know from what cause, have not made that likely to happen.