eight millions or so who have been killed, would be
made good in a very few years but for the destruction
of capital and credit which the war has caused.
If we study the vital statistics of a country like
Germany, which has engaged in several severe wars
since births and deaths began to be registered, we
shall find that the contour-line representing the fluctuations
of the birth-rate indicates a steep ravine in the
year or years while the war lasted, followed by a
hump or high table-land for several years after.
In a short time, as far as numbers are concerned, the
war is as if it had never been. When we remember
that the number of possible fathers is much reduced
by casualties, this rise in the birth-rate after a
war offers a strong confirmation of the thesis which
we have been maintaining, that the ebb and flow of
population are not affected by conscious intention,
but by increased or diminished pressure of numbers
upon subsistence. If the German people, who before
the war consumed more food than was good for them,
have been habituated by our blockade to a reasonable
abstemiousness, we shall have contributed to the eventual
increase of the German people, in spite of all their
soldiers whom we killed in France, and the civilians
whom we starved in Germany. And if our success
leads to a greater consumption by our working class,
our population will show a corresponding decline.
Emigration, as we have seen, does not diminish the
home population by a single unit; and so, while there
are empty lands available for colonisation, it is by
far the best method of adding to the numbers of our
race.
It should now be possible to form a judgment on the
prospects of the Anglo-Saxon race in various parts
of the world. In India, Burma, New Guinea, the
West Indian Islands, and tropical Africa there is no
possibility of ever planting a healthy European population.
These dependencies may grow food for us, or send us
articles which we can exchange for food, but they
are not, and never can be, colonies of Anglo-Saxons.
The prospects of South Africa are very dubious.
The white man is there an aristocrat, directing semi-servile
labour. The white population of the gold and
diamond fields will stay there till the mines give
out, and no longer. Large tracts of the country
may at last be occupied only by Kaffirs. The
United States of America are becoming less Anglo-Saxon
every year, and this process is likely to continue,
since in unskilled labour the Italian and the Pole
seem to give better value for their wages than the
Englishman or born American, with his high standard
of comfort. In Canada, the temperate part of Australia,
New Zealand, and Tasmania the chances for a large
and flourishing English-speaking population seem to
be very favourable, though in these dominions the
high standard of living is a check to population, and
in the case of Australasia the possibility of foreign
conquest, while these priceless lands are still half
empty, cannot be altogether excluded.