races, forget the fact, which is obvious when it has
once been pointed out, that the progressive nations
are those which happen to have valuable coal fields.
Countries which have no coal are obliged to import
it paying the freight, or to smelt their iron with
charcoal This process makes excellent steel—the
superiority of Swedish razors is due to wood-smelting—but
it is so wasteful of wood that the Mediterranean peoples
very early in history injured their climate by cutting
down their scanty forests, thereby diminishing their
rainfall, and allowing the soil to be washed off the
hillsides. The coasts of the Mediterranean are,
in consequence, far less productive than they were
two thousand years ago. But in England, when
the start was once made, all circumstances conspired
to turn our once beautiful island into a chaos of
factories and mean streets, reeking of smoke, millionaires,
and paupers. We were no longer able to grow our
own food; but we made masses of goods which the manufacturers
ware eager to exchange for it; and the population
grew like crops on a newly-irrigated desert. During
the nineteenth century the numbers were nearly quadrupled.
Let those who think that the population of a country
can be increased at will, reflect whether it is likely
that any physical, moral, or psychological change
came over the nation coincidently with the inventions
of the spinning-jenny and the steam-engine. It
is too obvious for dispute that it was the possession
of capital wanting employment, and of natural advantages
for using it, that called these multitudes of human
beings into existence, to eat the food which they
paid for by their labour. And it should be equally
obvious that the existence of forty-six millions of
people upon 121,000 square miles of territory depends
entirely upon our finding a market for our manufactures
abroad, for so only are we able to pay for the food
of the people. It is most unfortunate that these
exports must, with our present population, include
coal, which, if we had any thought for posterity,
we should guard jealously and use sparingly; for in
five hundred years at the outside our stock will be
gone, and we shall sink to a third-rate Power at once.
We are sacrificing the future in order to provide
for an excessive and discontented population in the
present. During the present century we have begun
to be conscious that our foreign trade is threatened;
and so sensitive is the birth-rate to economic conditions
that it has begun to curve very slightly downward
in relation to the death-rate, instead of descending
with it in parallel lines.[23] This may be partly due
to the curtailment of facilities for emigration, owing
to the filling up of the new countries. For emigration
does not diminish the population of the country which
the emigrants leave; it only increases its birth-rate.


