Pozzo thinks the French Government is gaining strength; but they are very inefficient in preventing armed men from assembling on the frontiers of Spain.

The French have exercised such coldness towards the Belgians that they are become unpopular.  De Potter was French while he had hopes of becoming so.  Now he is a Republican.

The Austrians will send troops into the Sardinian dominions if there is any insurrection. [Footnote:  They had similarly interfered to put down the Constitutional movement in Piedmont which followed on the Neapolitan revolution of 1821.] This by invitation.

The Queen of Spain has, it is said, a son. [Footnote:  It was a daughter, afterwards Queen Isabella II., born October 10, 1830.  The alteration of the succession in favour of the female line led to a civil war on Ferdinand VII.’s death.  A son might have secured peace, but probably without a Constitution.] This event would, it is thought, secure Spain against any revolutionary movement.

October 15.

Called on the Duke.  Settled with him the alterations necessary in the Chairs’ memorandum of the conversation on the 12th.  He thought we had gone too far in leading them to expect they should be repaid the money they had sunk in the territory while they held the Government.

Received from him the opium letter.  He thinks the principle good, but considers it is not fair to make the Scindians prevent the transit of opium.  We cannot prevent them, for they are independent; but unless we endeavour to persuade them, and succeed in doing so, we shall lose our opium revenue.

October 16.

Chairs at 11.  Head over with them my alterations of their protocol.  Astell did not seem to see the greatness of the variations.  Campbell did, and particularly observed upon the words, ’value of the fixed property in India which might be adjudged to appertain to the Company in their commercial capacity.’  He wanted an admission of the justice of the claims, leaving nothing for adjustment but their amount.  I said we could not admit claims without examination, the nature of which we did not yet know.  All we could admit was that the claims were such as should be submitted to examination, and their validity decided upon just principles.

Astell wished to go back again and recommence the discussion.  I said he knew I could decide nothing without the Cabinet, and he nothing without the Court; all he had to do now was to bring the subject before them.

He asked whether they were distinctly to understand that the Cabinet had decided upon the termination of the monopoly?  I said that the question not having yet been before the Cabinet I could not give an answer officially; but when the First Lord of the Treasury and the President of the Board of Control desired to know what the course of the Court would be in the event of its being proposed that the Court should administer the Government without monopoly, I thought it was not difficult to draw an inference.