applies to wool and mutton, to beef and hides, as
surely as to commodities which are produced quite
independently. It is true that this equilibrium
is a rough, imperfect one; and it may happen that
what is called a “glut” of wool may co-exist
for a short period with what is called a scarcity
of mutton. But qualifications of this nature are
in the strictest sense of the phrase, the exceptions
which prove the rule. For the departures from
equilibrium which gluts and scarcities represent are
always transient and are usually confined within narrow
limits. A strong prevailing trend towards an
adjustment of demand and supply is unmistakably manifest
amid all the vagaries of changing circumstance.
Let me carry the argument a step further for the benefit
of any reader who is restrained by a repugnance too
deep and instinctive to be readily overcome, from
admitting fairly to his mind that conception of order
which I am endeavoring to emphasize. He will in
all probability be one who, cherishing ideals of a
better and fairer system of society, looks forward
to a time when an organized cooeperation will be substituted
for what he regards as the existing chaos. Let
us suppose that his visions were fulfilled as completely
as he could desire; and that an immense system of
Socialism were in existence, embracing not one country
only, but the whole world. Suppose all the difficulties
of human perversity and administrative technique to
have been surmounted and a wise, disinterested executive
to be in supreme control of our business life.
Let us suppose all this, and ask only the question:
How would this executive treat the humdrum case of
wool and mutton? How would it decide the number
of sheep it would maintain?
Shall we suppose that it is inspired by the ideal
“to each according to his need,” and that
it resolves accordingly that the commodities which
people require for a decent standard of life shall
be supplied to them as a matter of course? How,
then, would it proceed? It might estimate the
amount of woolen clothing which a normal family requires,
allowing for differences in climate, and possibly indulging
somewhat the caprices of human taste. On this
basis, a certain number of sheep would be indicated.
It might perform a similar calculation for mutton,
and again a certain number of sheep would be indicated.
But it would be an extraordinary coincidence if the
numbers which resulted from these independent calculations
were nearly equal to one another, or were even of
the same order of magnitude; and, if they differed
widely, what number would our world executive select?
Would it decide to waste an immense quantity of either
wool or mutton; or would it decide that it could not,
after all, supply the full human needs for one or
other of the commodities?