RasmussenReports.com, October 2nd, 2006
The political winds are blowing momentum toward Republican Ron Saxton’s attempt to unseat Oregon Gov. Ted Kulongoski. Results of the latest Rasmussen Reports election survey show the incumbent’s lead is down to five points, 47% to 42%. Earlier this month, Saxton trailed by nine.
Confirmation that this is indeed becoming a more competitive race can be found on the campaign trail as several notable politicos will be visiting the state in the coming weeks. Former Vice President Al Gore is expected to fundraise at events for Kulongoski in October. Saxton is expecting similar visits from former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani and Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney.
One visitor who is not expected, however, is President Bush. The Saxton campaign claims it doesn’t need the president’s help to win this race—and keeping a safe distance may be a smart move. Most Oregon voters (54%) say they “strongly disapprove” of the president’s job performance. This is among the highest levels of disapproval for the President found anywhere in the nation.
Kulongoski and Saxton are each viewed “very favorably” by 15% of Oregon voters. The “very unfavorable” numbers for each candidate are a bit higher than that—24% for Saxton and 20% for the Governor.
The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports September 27, 2006. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.
