The Washington Post, January 11th, 2008
Pollsters and pundits were quick to discount race and the so- called Bradley effect as factors in Barack Obama's narrow loss to Hillary Clinton in the New Hampshire primary. Given that the same pollsters and pundits (okay, me, too) were so wrong about the outcome, I think we ought to take a closer look. The phenomenon is named after the late Tom Bradley, who in 1982 seemed certain to become the first black governor of California. Polls showed Bradley, the mayor of Los Angeles, with a double-digit lead over his white opponent, George Deukmejian. But Bradley lost. Subsequently, several high-prof...
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