still left with their titles, palaces, and personal estates, and merely deprived of their last vestiges of legal power.  The way will thus be opened for a gradual renewal of good feeling between the people of Germany and the western Europeans.  This renewal will be greatly facilitated by the inevitable fall in the German birth-rate that the shortage and economies of this war will have done much to promote, and by the correlated discrediting of the expansionist idea.  By 1960 or so the alteration of perspectives will have gone so far that historians will be a little perplexed to explain the causes of the Great War.  The militarist monomania of Germany will have become incomprehensible; her Welt Politik literature incredible and unreadable....

Such is my reading of the German horoscope.

I doubt if there will be nearly so much writing and reading about the Great War in the latter half of the twentieth century as there was about Napoleon at the end of the nineteenth.  The Great War is essentially undramatic, it has no hero, it has no great leaders.  It is a story of the common sense of humanity suppressing certain tawdry and vulgar ideas and ambitions, and readjusting much that was wasteful and unjust in social and economic organisation.  It is the story of how the spirit of man was awakened by a nightmare of a War Lord....  The nightmare will fade out of mind, and the spirit of man, with revivified energies, will set about the realities of life, the re-establishment of order, the increase of knowledge and creation.  Amid these realities the great qualities of the Germans mark them for a distinguished and important role.

Sec.3

The primary business of the Allies is not reconciliation with Germany.  Their primary concern is to organise a great League of Peace about the world with which the American States and China may either unite or establish a permanent understanding.  Separate attempts to restore friendship with the Germans will threaten the unanimity of the League of Peace, and perhaps renew the intrigues and evils of the Germanic dynastic system which this war may destroy.  The essential restoration of Germany must be the work of German men speaking plain sense to Germans, and inducing their country to hold out its hand not to this or that suspicious neighbour but to mankind.  A militarist Germany is a Germany self-condemned to isolation or world empire.  A Germany which has returned to the ways of peace, on the other hand, will be a country that cannot be kept out of the system of civilisation.  The tariff wall cannot but be lowered, the watchful restrictions cannot but be discontinued against such a Germany.  Europe is a system with its heart half used, so long as Germany is isolated.  The German population is and will remain the central and largest mass of people in Europe.  That is a fact as necessary as the Indianism of India.

To reconstruct modern civilisation without Germany would be a colossal artificial task that would take centuries to do.  It is inconceivable that Germany will stand out of Europeanism so long as to allow the trade routes of the world to be entirely deflected from her.  Her own necessities march with the natural needs of the world.