Chances Are… is a novel by Richard Russo. The novel follows three friends—Lincoln, Teddy, and Mickey—as they meet together on the island of Martha’s Vineyard in the year 2015. The last time they were together on Martha’s Vineyard was during a vacation in 1971 with their friend Jacy. Jacy mysteriously disappeared at the end of that vacation. After returning to the island in 2015, Lincoln decides to attempt another investigation into Jacy’s disappearance. The novel explores themes of retrospection, social division, love, family, and morality.